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Red85
8527.5
357227.4
610010.4
Blue60
861221.0
438124.8
600512.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7166506080901008560

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#6
27.50.4
27.027.4
Auto11.0
Teleop14.9
End1.6
red by 2.6
24.80.0
25.725.7
Auto7.6
Teleop15.5
End1.8
Second
27.40.4
26.927.3
Auto12.3
Teleop13.0
End2.1
red by 6.4
8612
#12
21.00.0
21.921.9
Auto8.7
Teleop11.1
End1.2
Third
6100
#31
10.40.4
9.910.3
Auto5.1
Teleop3.6
End1.7
blue by 1.6
6005
#29
12.00.0
12.912.9
Auto5.2
Teleop5.7
End1.1