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Red122
721119.7
170131.4
3341.1
Blue94
540634.4
546038.8
607818.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions999970809011012013012294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#2
41.10.6
39.840.5
Auto12.3
Teleop25.9
End3.0
red by 2.3
5460
#22
38.80.0
38.438.3
Auto13.2
Teleop23.9
End1.7
Second
1701
#12
31.40.6
30.130.8
Auto11.5
Teleop18.8
End1.1
blue by 3.1
34.40.0
34.034.0
Auto10.5
Teleop19.4
End4.5
Third
7211
#19
19.70.6
18.519.1
Auto6.2
Teleop12.8
End0.7
red by 0.9
6078
#26
18.80.0
18.418.4
Auto6.7
Teleop10.3
End1.8