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Red119
721119.7
170131.4
3341.1
Blue117
540634.4
546038.8
607818.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101100708090110120130140119117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#2
41.10.6
40.441.1
Auto12.3
Teleop25.9
End3.0
red by 2.3
5460
#22
38.80.2
38.538.8
Auto13.2
Teleop23.9
End1.7
Second
1701
#12
31.40.6
30.731.4
Auto11.5
Teleop18.8
End1.1
blue by 3.1
34.40.2
34.234.4
Auto10.5
Teleop19.4
End4.5
Third
7211
#19
19.70.6
19.019.7
Auto6.2
Teleop12.8
End0.7
red by 0.9
6078
#26
18.80.2
18.618.8
Auto6.7
Teleop10.3
End1.8