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Qual 232024 Rainbow Rumble
Red56
103818.9
317526.4
57045.1
Blue51
721119.7
222410.5
353829.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions576502040801001205651

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3175
#11
26.40.4
24.2→23.7
Auto9.2
Teleop16.1
End1.0
blue by 3.3
3538
#6
29.71.1
27.7→26.6
Auto10.4
Teleop16.0
End3.3
Second
1038
#16
18.90.4
20.7→20.2
Auto6.5
Teleop8.0
End4.4
blue by 0.8
7211
#19DQ
19.71.1
16.5→15.3
Auto6.2
Teleop12.8
End0.7
Third
5704
#46
5.10.4
7.6→7.2
Auto2.8
Teleop2.0
End0.3
blue by 5.5
2224
#44
10.51.1
13.9→12.7
Auto3.6
Teleop5.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsMissed67%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
33%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsEarned