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Red51
317526.4
828010.1
222410.5
Blue60
721119.7
150629.4
917620.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4778020601001201401605160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3175
#11
26.40.3
23.724.0
Auto9.2
Teleop16.1
End1.0
blue by 3.0
29.40.6
30.830.2
Auto7.3
Teleop17.8
End4.3
Second
2224
#44
10.50.3
12.713.0
Auto3.6
Teleop5.7
End1.2
blue by 10.2
9176
#15
20.80.6
20.620.0
Auto10.8
Teleop9.3
End0.7
Third
8280
#39
10.10.3
9.810.1
Auto4.9
Teleop4.1
End1.2
blue by 9.6
7211
#19
19.70.6
15.314.8
Auto6.2
Teleop12.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsEarned94%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed42%Ensemble oddsMissed