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Red75
46924.3
283421.0
81832.3
Blue108
546038.8
376728.5
365519.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7610605015020075108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
818
#9
32.30.1
30.730.6
Auto11.6
Teleop18.6
End2.1
blue by 6.5
5460
#22
38.81.1
40.041.1
Auto13.2
Teleop23.9
End1.7
Second
469
#21
24.30.1
20.120.0
Auto6.1
Teleop16.2
End2.0
blue by 4.2
28.51.1
29.630.7
Auto13.5
Teleop13.4
End1.6
Third
2834
#17
21.00.1
21.121.0
Auto7.5
Teleop10.4
End3.1
red by 1.5
3655
#29
19.51.1
22.523.6
Auto4.6
Teleop14.6
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
83%Melody oddsEarned91%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
41%Ensemble oddsEarned72%Ensemble oddsMissed