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Red69
353829.7
776935.5
4530.9
Blue69
317526.4
168427.1
546038.8
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions661040501506969

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7769
#10
35.5
Auto13.4
Teleop19.3
End2.8
blue by 3.3
5460
#22
38.8
Auto13.2
Teleop23.9
End1.7
Second
29.7
Auto10.4
Teleop16.0
End3.3
red by 2.6
1684
#20
27.1
Auto7.0
Teleop19.5
End0.6
Third
453
#48
0.9
Auto3.5
Teleop-2.7
End0.0
blue by 25.5
3175
#11
26.4
Auto9.2
Teleop16.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
70%Melody oddsEarned93%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed42%Ensemble oddsMissed