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Red43
481017.3
222410.5
955814.0
Blue69
170131.4
30218.6
376728.5
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38950501502004369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4810
#28
17.30.1
16.616.7
Auto6.3
Teleop8.7
End2.3
blue by 14.0
1701
#12
31.40.7
28.127.4
Auto11.5
Teleop18.8
End1.1
Second
9558
#45
14.00.1
12.512.6
Auto5.6
Teleop7.0
End1.4
blue by 14.5
28.50.7
30.730.0
Auto13.5
Teleop13.4
End1.6
Third
2224
#44
10.50.1
12.412.5
Auto3.6
Teleop5.7
End1.2
blue by 8.1
302
#13
18.60.7
20.319.7
Auto2.8
Teleop11.8
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed57%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed41%Ensemble oddsEarned