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Red34
56412.8
546038.8
222410.5
Blue77
285124.5
955814.0
22626.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions666640506070803477

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5460
#22
38.81.7
41.339.6
Auto13.2
Teleop23.9
End1.7
red by 12.5
226
#25
26.30.9
23.724.5
Auto11.7
Teleop12.7
End1.8
Second
2224
#44
10.51.7
12.010.3
Auto3.6
Teleop5.7
End1.2
blue by 13.9
24.50.9
24.725.5
Auto5.6
Teleop16.3
End2.6
Third
5641
#36
2.81.7
6.34.6
Auto1.2
Teleop2.2
End-0.6
blue by 11.2
9558
#45
14.00.9
11.712.5
Auto5.6
Teleop7.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
69%Melody oddsMissed45%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed