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Red86
150629.4
353829.7
376728.5
Blue22
84247.4
51B5.7
159611.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108210501508622

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.70.4
29.429.0
Auto10.4
Teleop16.0
End3.3
red by 18.7
1596
#42
11.00.5
13.613.2
Auto5.4
Teleop4.1
End1.5
Second
29.40.4
30.830.4
Auto7.3
Teleop17.8
End4.3
red by 21.9
8424
#47
7.40.5
8.37.9
Auto3.1
Teleop4.6
End-0.3
Third
28.50.4
27.026.5
Auto13.5
Teleop13.4
End1.6
red by 22.8
51B
#41
5.70.7
7.16.4
Auto3.3
Teleop2.0
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
87%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
73%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed