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Red59
546038.8
57045.1
607818.8
Blue117
30218.6
3341.1
365519.5
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6589020408010012014016059117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5460
#22
38.80.2
39.639.4
Auto13.2
Teleop23.9
End1.7
blue by 2.3
33
#2
41.10.3
39.139.4
Auto12.3
Teleop25.9
End3.0
Second
6078
#26
18.80.2
16.116.0
Auto6.7
Teleop10.3
End1.8
blue by 0.7
3655
#29
19.50.3
20.120.4
Auto4.6
Teleop14.6
End0.3
Third
5704
#46
5.10.2
6.26.0
Auto2.8
Teleop2.0
End0.3
blue by 13.5
302
#13
18.60.3
18.518.8
Auto2.8
Teleop11.8
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsEarned71%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
44%Ensemble oddsMissed62%Ensemble oddsEarned