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Qual 712024 Rainbow Rumble
Red87
917620.8
81832.3
103818.9
Blue44
776935.5
872811.3
438123.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75872040601001201408744

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
818
#9
32.31.2
31.5→32.7
Auto11.6
Teleop18.6
End2.1
blue by 3.2
7769
#10
35.52.2
35.5→33.3
Auto13.4
Teleop19.3
End2.8
Second
9176
#15
20.81.2
20.0→21.2
Auto10.8
Teleop9.3
End0.7
blue by 2.6
4381
#23
23.42.2
25.2→23.0
Auto10.3
Teleop11.1
End2.0
Third
1038
#16
18.91.2
17.6→18.8
Auto6.5
Teleop8.0
End4.4
red by 7.6
8728
#34
11.32.2
16.2→14.0
Auto3.0
Teleop7.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
87%Melody oddsEarned92%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
38%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed