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Red41
57045.1
285124.5
365519.5
Blue84
607818.8
557719.3
317526.4
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions576302040801001204184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.50.9
25.925.0
Auto5.6
Teleop16.3
End2.6
blue by 1.9
3175
#11
26.41.8
23.124.9
Auto9.2
Teleop16.1
End1.0
Second
3655
#29
19.50.9
20.419.5
Auto4.6
Teleop14.6
End0.3
red by 0.1
5577
#24
19.31.8
17.519.3
Auto7.6
Teleop9.8
End1.9
Third
5704
#46
5.10.9
6.05.1
Auto2.8
Teleop2.0
End0.3
blue by 13.7
6078
#26
18.81.8
16.017.8
Auto6.7
Teleop10.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed59%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed