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Red70
30218.6
353829.7
22626.3
Blue75
571237.4
917620.8
438123.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78922040601001201407075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.70.1
29.028.9
Auto10.4
Teleop16.0
End3.3
blue by 7.7
37.40.4
37.036.6
Auto14.3
Teleop20.5
End2.6
Second
226
#25
26.30.1
24.224.0
Auto11.7
Teleop12.7
End1.8
red by 2.9
4381
#23
23.40.4
23.022.6
Auto10.3
Teleop11.1
End2.0
Third
302
#13
18.60.1
18.818.6
Auto2.8
Teleop11.8
End4.0
blue by 2.1
9176
#15
20.80.4
21.220.8
Auto10.8
Teleop9.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
59%Melody oddsMissed78%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
41%Ensemble oddsEarned20%Ensemble oddsMissed