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Red32
44229.9
546038.8
872811.3
Blue35
222410.5
43840.8
719714.9
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8118040601001201403235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5460
#22
38.82.7
39.436.7
Auto13.2
Teleop23.9
End1.7
red by 23.9
7197
#30
14.90.5
13.313.8
Auto4.1
Teleop9.3
End1.5
Second
8728
#34
11.32.7
14.011.3
Auto3.0
Teleop7.6
End0.7
red by 0.7
2224
#44
10.50.5
10.010.5
Auto3.6
Teleop5.7
End1.2
Third
4422
#35
9.92.7
12.79.9
Auto5.4
Teleop3.7
End0.8
red by 9.1
4384
#40
0.80.5
0.30.8
Auto2.5
Teleop-1.3
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
80%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed