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Red48
68619.6
571237.4
57045.1
Blue38
955814.0
168427.1
365620.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66830501001504838

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.40.9
40.939.9
Auto14.3
Teleop20.5
End2.6
red by 10.3
1684
#20
27.12.4
24.622.3
Auto7.0
Teleop19.5
End0.6
Second
6861
#37
9.60.9
12.611.7
Auto5.6
Teleop2.0
End2.0
blue by 10.9
3656
#27
20.62.4
30.928.6
Auto6.9
Teleop11.7
End2.0
Third
5704
#46
5.10.9
8.67.6
Auto2.8
Teleop2.0
End0.3
blue by 8.9
9558
#45
14.02.4
17.715.4
Auto5.6
Teleop7.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsMissed80%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsMissed42%Ensemble oddsMissed