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Red101
546038.8
607818.8
540634.4
Blue123
3341.1
170131.4
721119.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9997050150200250101123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5460
#22
38.80.2
37.837.9
Auto13.2
Teleop23.9
End1.7
blue by 2.3
33
#2
41.10.2
39.639.8
Auto12.3
Teleop25.9
End3.0
Second
34.40.2
33.433.6
Auto10.5
Teleop19.4
End4.5
red by 3.1
1701
#12
31.40.2
29.930.1
Auto11.5
Teleop18.8
End1.1
Third
6078
#26
18.80.2
17.817.9
Auto6.7
Teleop10.3
End1.8
blue by 0.9
7211
#19
19.70.2
18.218.5
Auto6.2
Teleop12.8
End0.7