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Red26
78114.6
505613.0
567522.9
Blue67
89425.3
432516.4
345214.5
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions295702040801002667

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.90.4
16.315.9
Auto10.3
Teleop12.2
End0.4
blue by 2.5
894
#3
25.30.3
21.321.6
Auto8.1
Teleop15.4
End1.8
Second
5056
#18
13.00.4
10.29.8
Auto4.9
Teleop6.7
End1.4
blue by 3.4
4325
#14
16.40.3
14.514.8
Auto6.4
Teleop7.9
End2.1
Third
7811
#33
4.60.2
3.02.8
Auto2.3
Teleop1.5
End0.7
blue by 9.9
14.50.3
12.212.5
Auto4.8
Teleop9.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed65%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsEarned