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Red30
975810.1
705410.3
485515.7
Blue64
276733.5
51826.9
974315.0
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47543040506070803064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4855
#16
15.71.9
17.515.6
Auto6.7
Teleop7.4
End1.6
blue by 17.9
33.51.8
32.033.8
Auto12.5
Teleop17.8
End3.2
Second
7054
#30
10.31.9
13.511.5
Auto3.2
Teleop6.6
End0.5
blue by 4.7
9743
#11
15.01.1
11.012.1
Auto6.0
Teleop8.0
End0.9
Third
9758
#23
10.11.2
12.311.2
Auto4.5
Teleop5.5
End0.2
red by 3.2
5182
#32
6.91.1
4.85.9
Auto2.9
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed