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Red47
78145.7
362019.1
561013.9
Blue54
423728.3
345214.5
592716.2
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3860020801004754

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.11.1
19.220.2
Auto8.0
Teleop8.7
End2.4
blue by 9.2
28.30.1
27.527.6
Auto12.8
Teleop14.1
End1.3
Second
5610
#17
13.91.1
12.013.1
Auto4.7
Teleop6.6
End2.5
blue by 2.4
5927
#15
16.20.2
11.712.0
Auto5.3
Teleop9.9
End1.0
Third
7814
#29
5.70.7
5.66.3
Auto2.5
Teleop1.9
End1.4
blue by 8.8
14.50.1
12.612.8
Auto4.8
Teleop9.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsEarned60%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed