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Red56
345214.5
567522.9
52278.6
Blue37
976315.1
78145.7
354620.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46474050555637

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.90.5
20.821.3
Auto10.3
Teleop12.2
End0.4
red by 2.5
3546
#10
20.31.5
21.820.4
Auto7.5
Teleop11.6
End1.2
Second
14.50.4
12.813.1
Auto4.8
Teleop9.0
End0.6
blue by 0.7
9763
#27
15.11.0
14.113.1
Auto3.8
Teleop8.8
End2.6
Third
5227
#34
8.60.5
8.18.6
Auto5.5
Teleop1.7
End1.4
red by 2.9
7814
#29
5.71.0
6.35.3
Auto2.5
Teleop1.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsEarned26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed