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Red34
584318.1
92396.7
550115.5
Blue50
505613.0
592716.2
705410.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403502060801001203450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5843
#25
18.10.2
15.615.4
Auto7.1
Teleop10.0
End1.0
red by 1.8
5927
#15
16.21.2
12.013.1
Auto5.3
Teleop9.9
End1.0
Second
5501
#20
15.50.2
13.112.9
Auto7.4
Teleop7.8
End0.4
red by 2.5
5056
#18
13.01.3
11.012.3
Auto4.9
Teleop6.7
End1.4
Third
9239
#28
6.70.1
7.17.0
Auto2.8
Teleop3.1
End0.8
blue by 3.6
7054
#30
10.31.2
9.710.9
Auto3.2
Teleop6.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed