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Red63
354620.3
571232.0
55596.6
Blue64
432516.4
276733.5
976315.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61722040801006364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.00.5
29.329.8
Auto13.6
Teleop16.4
End2.0
blue by 1.5
33.50.0
33.733.7
Auto12.5
Teleop17.8
End3.2
Second
3546
#10
20.30.5
20.220.7
Auto7.5
Teleop11.6
End1.2
red by 3.9
4325
#14
16.40.0
16.516.5
Auto6.4
Teleop7.9
End2.1
Third
5559
#37
6.60.4
6.97.4
Auto2.6
Teleop3.4
End0.7
blue by 8.5
9763
#27
15.10.0
13.813.8
Auto3.8
Teleop8.8
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
65%Melody oddsEarned72%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed