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Red43
592716.2
421615.1
658810.9
Blue49
592616.2
51826.9
345214.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393702060801004349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5927
#15
16.20.6
14.314.9
Auto5.3
Teleop9.9
End1.0
Level
5926
#24
16.20.8
15.716.6
Auto6.8
Teleop8.2
End1.2
Second
4216
#12
15.10.5
13.013.5
Auto5.5
Teleop8.3
End1.3
red by 0.6
14.50.7
13.414.1
Auto4.8
Teleop9.0
End0.6
Third
6588
#31
10.90.5
8.18.6
Auto2.6
Teleop6.2
End2.1
red by 4.0
5182
#32
6.90.7
4.55.1
Auto2.9
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed