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Red40
92396.7
423728.3
52278.6
Blue52
485515.7
567522.9
19408.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4849404550554052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.30.2
28.528.3
Auto12.8
Teleop14.1
End1.3
red by 5.4
22.90.6
21.522.0
Auto10.3
Teleop12.2
End0.4
Second
5227
#34
8.60.3
8.07.8
Auto5.5
Teleop1.7
End1.4
blue by 7.0
4855
#16
15.70.6
14.314.9
Auto6.7
Teleop7.4
End1.6
Third
9239
#28
6.70.2
6.96.7
Auto2.8
Teleop3.1
End0.8
blue by 2.2
1940
#21
8.90.6
8.38.9
Auto3.1
Teleop5.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsMissed42%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed