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Red35
592616.2
975810.1
97718.5
Blue41
345214.5
505613.0
95496.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393702060801003541

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5926
#24
16.20.0
16.616.6
Auto6.8
Teleop8.2
End1.2
red by 1.7
14.50.4
14.114.5
Auto4.8
Teleop9.0
End0.6
Second
9758
#23
10.10.0
9.89.8
Auto4.5
Teleop5.5
End0.2
blue by 2.9
5056
#18
13.00.4
12.913.4
Auto4.9
Teleop6.7
End1.4
Third
9771
#35
8.50.0
8.58.5
Auto2.8
Teleop3.9
End1.8
red by 1.6
9549
#26
6.90.4
6.56.9
Auto1.4
Teleop4.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed49%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed