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Red80
205431.3
550115.5
276733.5
Blue78
485515.7
7423.1
567522.9
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92622040801001201408078

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.50.0
33.333.3
Auto12.5
Teleop17.8
End3.2
red by 10.4
74
#5
23.10.3
22.522.8
Auto7.6
Teleop13.3
End2.3
Second
31.30.0
31.131.0
Auto12.0
Teleop15.6
End3.7
red by 8.4
22.90.3
22.222.5
Auto10.3
Teleop12.2
End0.4
Third
5501
#20
15.50.0
15.415.3
Auto7.4
Teleop7.8
End0.4
blue by 0.1
4855
#16
15.70.3
15.115.3
Auto6.7
Teleop7.4
End1.6