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Red46
97574.6
365629.9
552710.8
Blue33
36195.1
925110.3
353423.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413802060801004633

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.90.3
20.921.2
Auto10.8
Teleop17.0
End2.0
red by 6.2
3534
#12
23.70.1
18.118.0
Auto9.4
Teleop11.9
End2.4
Second
5527
#13
10.80.3
7.57.8
Auto1.5
Teleop6.9
End2.4
red by 0.5
9251
#26
10.30.1
10.810.7
Auto6.2
Teleop2.2
End1.9
Third
9757
#38
4.60.3
8.18.4
Auto2.4
Teleop0.5
End1.8
blue by 0.5
3619
#23
5.10.1
6.05.9
Auto2.7
Teleop1.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed