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Red87
365629.9
213725.8
168423.1
Blue55
97769.7
170129.3
97517.1
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions654102060801008755

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.90.4
21.221.6
Auto10.8
Teleop17.0
End2.0
red by 0.6
29.31.0
26.127.1
Auto11.2
Teleop16.9
End1.1
Second
25.80.4
20.420.8
Auto9.0
Teleop15.0
End1.9
red by 16.2
9776
#21
9.71.0
9.810.8
Auto4.4
Teleop4.6
End0.7
Third
1684
#10
23.10.4
14.514.9
Auto9.6
Teleop11.2
End2.3
red by 16.0
9751
#31
7.11.0
4.05.0
Auto3.6
Teleop2.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsEarned24%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsEarned13%Ensemble oddsMissed