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Red37
765614.5
505017.3
97483.1
Blue41
7029.6
45686.2
973110.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3739253035455055603741

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5050
#15
17.30.2
15.715.9
Auto6.3
Teleop8.1
End2.9
blue by 12.3
70
#7
29.60.3
23.423.1
Auto10.0
Teleop15.5
End4.1
Second
7656
#28
14.50.2
13.313.5
Auto4.7
Teleop7.4
End2.4
red by 4.4
9731
#18
10.20.3
7.87.6
Auto4.1
Teleop4.7
End1.4
Third
9748
#33
3.10.2
5.25.3
Auto2.3
Teleop0.1
End0.6
blue by 3.2
4568
#20
6.20.3
4.03.7
Auto2.4
Teleop2.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed