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Red41
49430.1
97483.1
48384.5
Blue31
55318.3
213725.8
97574.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384202060801001204131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#1
30.10.1
26.526.4
Auto9.2
Teleop14.9
End5.9
red by 4.3
25.80.7
24.023.3
Auto9.0
Teleop15.0
End1.9
Second
4838
#22
4.50.1
4.24.1
Auto2.1
Teleop0.8
End1.6
blue by 3.8
5531
#27
8.30.7
6.55.8
Auto4.3
Teleop2.5
End1.5
Third
9748
#33
3.10.1
4.24.1
Auto2.3
Teleop0.1
End0.6
blue by 1.6
9757
#38
4.60.7
6.76.0
Auto2.4
Teleop0.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed