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Red50
945511.1
213725.8
96797.1
Blue4
48384.5
309810.4
50653.6
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4415020406080504

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.80.9
19.520.4
Auto9.0
Teleop15.0
End1.9
red by 15.5
3098
#34
10.41.0
10.69.6
Auto2.8
Teleop5.3
End2.2
Second
9455
#29
11.10.9
10.811.7
Auto6.4
Teleop2.1
End2.7
red by 6.6
4838
#22
4.51.0
3.42.4
Auto2.1
Teleop0.8
End1.6
Third
9679
#32
7.10.9
6.27.1
Auto1.4
Teleop4.5
End1.2
red by 3.5
5065
#30DQ
3.61.1
2.91.8
Auto1.5
Teleop1.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed