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Red60
718817.8
55318.3
7029.6
Blue37
838512.7
96797.1
924212.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55320204060801006037

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#7
29.60.9
26.627.4
Auto10.0
Teleop15.5
End4.1
red by 16.9
8385
#16
12.70.2
14.714.9
Auto3.6
Teleop7.8
End1.3
Second
7188
#11
17.80.9
14.715.5
Auto7.9
Teleop7.6
End2.3
red by 5.8
9242
#37
12.00.2
10.410.7
Auto4.2
Teleop5.6
End2.2
Third
5531
#27
8.30.9
5.86.6
Auto4.3
Teleop2.5
End1.5
red by 1.2
9679
#32
7.10.2
6.66.9
Auto1.4
Teleop4.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsEarned8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed