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Red20
97574.6
505017.3
97769.7
Blue53
7029.6
925110.3
945511.1
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions335602040801002053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5050
#15
17.30.8
16.515.7
Auto6.3
Teleop8.1
End2.9
blue by 12.3
70
#7
29.60.0
27.427.4
Auto10.0
Teleop15.5
End4.1
Second
9776
#21
9.70.8
10.810.0
Auto4.4
Teleop4.6
End0.7
blue by 1.5
9455
#29
11.10.0
12.112.1
Auto6.4
Teleop2.1
End2.7
Third
9757
#38
4.60.8
5.14.3
Auto2.4
Teleop0.5
End1.8
blue by 5.7
9251
#26
10.30.0
8.58.5
Auto6.2
Teleop2.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed