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Red64
309810.4
353423.7
812612.1
Blue49
765614.5
92525.4
31424.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5147102030406070806449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3534
#12
23.70.9
21.722.6
Auto9.4
Teleop11.9
End2.4
blue by 0.5
314
#4
24.20.0
23.423.5
Auto10.0
Teleop11.5
End2.7
Second
8126
#17
12.10.9
11.612.5
Auto4.1
Teleop5.7
End2.3
blue by 2.4
7656
#28
14.50.0
14.714.7
Auto4.7
Teleop7.4
End2.4
Third
3098
#34
10.40.9
12.613.5
Auto2.8
Teleop5.3
End2.2
red by 5.0
9252
#36
5.40.0
5.25.2
Auto2.1
Teleop2.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsEarned29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed