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Red32
96974.1
36195.1
561219.2
Blue15
48384.5
96797.1
97769.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36220103040506070803215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.20.3
20.620.3
Auto7.0
Teleop10.0
End2.1
red by 9.5
9776
#21
9.70.6
10.09.4
Auto4.4
Teleop4.6
End0.7
Second
3619
#23
5.10.3
5.24.9
Auto2.7
Teleop1.8
End0.6
blue by 2.0
9679
#32
7.10.6
7.67.0
Auto1.4
Teleop4.5
End1.2
Third
9697
#24
4.10.3
4.74.4
Auto1.4
Teleop1.2
End1.5
blue by 0.4
4838
#22
4.50.6
4.03.4
Auto2.1
Teleop0.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed