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Red39
92525.4
552710.8
55318.3
Blue23
97517.1
50653.6
945511.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions232204060803923

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5527
#13
10.80.5
8.59.0
Auto1.5
Teleop6.9
End2.4
blue by 0.4
9455
#29
11.10.2
12.111.9
Auto6.4
Teleop2.1
End2.7
Second
5531
#27
8.30.5
7.47.9
Auto4.3
Teleop2.5
End1.5
red by 1.2
9751
#31
7.10.2
5.45.2
Auto3.6
Teleop2.0
End1.5
Third
9252
#36
5.40.5
5.25.8
Auto2.1
Teleop2.8
End0.5
red by 1.8
5065
#30
3.60.2
2.92.7
Auto1.5
Teleop1.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed3%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed