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Red42
561219.2
812612.1
925110.3
Blue15
838512.7
168423.1
97483.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45482030406070804215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.20.0
20.320.4
Auto7.0
Teleop10.0
End2.1
blue by 3.9
1684
#10
23.11.9
23.621.7
Auto9.6
Teleop11.2
End2.3
Second
8126
#17
12.10.0
12.112.2
Auto4.1
Teleop5.7
End2.3
blue by 0.6
8385
#16
12.71.9
14.913.0
Auto3.6
Teleop7.8
End1.3
Third
9251
#26
10.30.0
8.98.9
Auto6.2
Teleop2.2
End1.9
red by 7.2
9748
#33
3.11.9
5.03.1
Auto2.3
Teleop0.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed