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Red45
973110.2
55318.3
918218.2
Blue71
552710.8
31424.2
505017.3
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions346002040801004571

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9182
#35
18.20.8
16.617.4
Auto6.3
Teleop9.9
End2.1
blue by 5.9
314
#4
24.20.5
24.124.7
Auto10.0
Teleop11.5
End2.7
Second
9731
#18
10.20.8
9.410.2
Auto4.1
Teleop4.7
End1.4
blue by 7.2
5050
#15
17.30.5
16.717.3
Auto6.3
Teleop8.1
End2.9
Third
5531
#27
8.30.8
7.58.3
Auto4.3
Teleop2.5
End1.5
blue by 2.5
5527
#13
10.80.5
10.210.7
Auto1.5
Teleop6.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed33%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed37%Ensemble oddsMissed