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Red60
31424.2
36195.1
718817.8
Blue22
925110.3
96512.7
724714.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35342530404550556022

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
314
#4
24.21.1
16.817.9
Auto10.0
Teleop11.5
End2.7
red by 9.5
7247
#19
14.70.8
14.613.9
Auto3.2
Teleop9.7
End1.8
Second
7188
#11
17.81.1
8.89.9
Auto7.9
Teleop7.6
End2.3
red by 7.6
9251
#26
10.30.8
10.79.9
Auto6.2
Teleop2.2
End1.9
Third
3619
#23
5.11.1
5.97.0
Auto2.7
Teleop1.8
End0.6
red by 2.4
9651
#39
2.70.8
6.05.2
Auto2.2
Teleop0.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsEarned15%Ensemble oddsMissed