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Red62
838512.7
356816.6
561219.2
Blue73
213725.8
97769.7
353423.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52670204060801006273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.20.2
19.319.2
Auto7.0
Teleop10.0
End2.1
blue by 6.7
25.80.2
25.725.9
Auto9.0
Teleop15.0
End1.9
Second
3568
#14
16.60.2
16.716.6
Auto7.9
Teleop5.6
End3.0
blue by 7.1
3534
#12
23.70.2
23.623.8
Auto9.4
Teleop11.9
End2.4
Third
8385
#16
12.70.2
12.812.7
Auto3.6
Teleop7.8
End1.3
red by 3.0
9776
#21
9.70.2
9.59.7
Auto4.4
Teleop4.6
End0.7