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Red117
296019.7
91026.1
2744.3
Blue43
285126.0
499827.5
961815.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1007620406012014016011743

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#1
44.30.6
43.644.2
Auto15.3
Teleop25.8
End3.1
red by 16.8
27.50.6
28.327.7
Auto7.8
Teleop17.1
End2.5
Second
910
#11
26.10.6
25.426.0
Auto10.1
Teleop15.2
End0.7
red by 0.1
26.00.6
26.826.1
Auto8.2
Teleop15.5
End2.3
Third
2960
#18
19.70.6
19.019.6
Auto7.1
Teleop9.1
End3.5
red by 4.3
9618
#28
15.40.6
16.215.6
Auto2.7
Teleop11.0
End1.7