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Red76
22626.1
88265.5
57323.2
Blue17
71888.1
71459.9
75972.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions482504060801007617

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#8
26.12.4
21.423.7
Auto10.5
Teleop14.5
End1.1
red by 16.3
7145
#24
9.90.5
6.86.3
Auto3.6
Teleop4.8
End1.4
Second
573
#7
23.22.4
13.615.9
Auto5.6
Teleop13.3
End4.3
red by 15.1
7188
#26
8.10.9
8.98.0
Auto5.2
Teleop0.9
End2.0
Third
8826
#27
5.54.0
5.59.4
Auto3.3
Teleop1.8
End0.4
red by 2.7
7597
#36
2.70.9
9.38.4
Auto1.0
Teleop0.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned26%Ensemble oddsMissed