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Red52
24527.2
95287.7
653210.1
Blue15
961815.4
52253.6
656710.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions432802060801005215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#6
27.20.8
23.924.7
Auto9.4
Teleop15.8
End2.0
red by 11.8
9618
#28
15.40.8
8.87.9
Auto2.7
Teleop11.0
End1.7
Second
6532
#30
10.11.4
7.48.8
Auto3.5
Teleop6.3
End0.3
blue by 0.1
6567
#35
10.21.4
9.98.6
Auto5.1
Teleop3.8
End1.3
Third
9528
#42
7.71.4
6.07.4
Auto4.2
Teleop3.2
End0.3
red by 4.1
5225
#32
3.61.4
8.67.2
Auto0.9
Teleop2.7
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed