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Red70
52148.3
499827.5
543635.5
Blue10
75972.7
81819.4
21712.9
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7738020601001207010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.50.0
31.331.3
Auto13.3
Teleop18.7
End3.4
red by 16.0
818
#15
19.43.2
21.117.9
Auto7.6
Teleop9.7
End2.0
Second
27.50.0
25.325.3
Auto7.8
Teleop17.1
End2.5
red by 14.6
217
#16
12.91.9
12.210.3
Auto4.3
Teleop7.9
End0.6
Third
5214
#25
8.30.0
8.18.1
Auto2.4
Teleop4.4
End1.5
red by 5.6
7597
#36
2.73.2
5.82.5
Auto1.0
Teleop0.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
70%Melody oddsEarned42%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsEarned19%Ensemble oddsMissed