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Red40
24721.7
96796.2
20110.4
Blue52
955813.0
66166.9
22626.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4249102030607080904052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
247
#9
21.70.2
19.719.4
Auto8.3
Teleop10.6
End2.8
blue by 4.5
226
#8
26.10.5
24.124.6
Auto10.5
Teleop14.5
End1.1
Second
201
#41
10.40.2
10.19.8
Auto3.3
Teleop5.4
End1.8
blue by 2.6
9558
#19
13.00.8
10.511.3
Auto3.5
Teleop9.0
End0.6
Third
9679
#33
6.20.4
8.98.6
Auto2.4
Teleop3.8
End-0.0
blue by 0.7
6616
#29
6.90.8
9.310.1
Auto2.3
Teleop3.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsMissed37%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed