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Red56
955813.0
961815.4
171827.4
Blue73
57323.2
656611.4
717824.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions535230406070805673

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1718
#21
27.40.6
25.425.9
Auto9.1
Teleop16.7
End1.6
red by 3.4
7178
#22
24.01.7
20.422.1
Auto9.0
Teleop13.1
End1.9
Second
9618
#28
15.40.6
10.911.5
Auto2.7
Teleop11.0
End1.7
blue by 7.7
573
#7
23.21.7
19.220.9
Auto5.6
Teleop13.3
End4.3
Third
9558
#19
13.00.8
11.312.1
Auto3.5
Teleop9.0
End0.6
red by 1.6
6566
#39
11.42.5
7.710.1
Auto4.4
Teleop5.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsEarned35%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed