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Red98
653210.1
171827.4
776221.3
Blue15
88265.5
81819.4
33029.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6242020801001209815

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1718
#21
27.41.3
25.927.2
Auto9.1
Teleop16.7
End1.6
red by 8.0
818
#15
19.42.4
18.916.5
Auto7.6
Teleop9.7
End2.0
Second
7762
#12
21.31.7
17.919.6
Auto6.0
Teleop13.5
End1.8
red by 12.4
3302
#37
9.02.4
12.29.8
Auto1.6
Teleop6.7
End0.7
Third
6532
#30
10.11.7
9.611.4
Auto3.5
Teleop6.3
End0.3
red by 4.6
8826
#27
5.52.4
8.86.4
Auto3.3
Teleop1.8
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
63%Melody oddsEarned30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed