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Red49
46922.9
955813.0
21712.9
Blue30
50467.5
75972.7
961815.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions552204060801004930

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#17
22.90.3
21.421.2
Auto5.0
Teleop16.1
End1.9
red by 7.5
9618
#28
15.40.4
14.514.9
Auto2.7
Teleop11.0
End1.7
Second
9558
#19
13.00.3
13.313.0
Auto3.5
Teleop9.0
End0.6
red by 5.6
5046
#40
7.50.4
7.07.5
Auto3.7
Teleop3.8
End0.0
Third
217
#16
12.90.3
11.411.1
Auto4.3
Teleop7.9
End0.6
red by 10.1
7597
#36
2.70.5
2.32.7
Auto1.0
Teleop0.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
76%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed