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Red86
24721.7
21712.9
46922.9
Blue91
285126.0
499827.5
961815.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions587920401001201408691

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#17
22.90.5
22.122.6
Auto5.0
Teleop16.1
End1.9
blue by 4.6
27.50.5
27.427.9
Auto7.8
Teleop17.1
End2.5
Second
247
#9
21.70.5
20.921.3
Auto8.3
Teleop10.6
End2.8
blue by 4.3
26.00.5
25.926.4
Auto8.2
Teleop15.5
End2.3
Third
217
#16
12.90.5
12.112.5
Auto4.3
Teleop7.9
End0.6
blue by 2.6
9618
#28
15.40.5
15.415.9
Auto2.7
Teleop11.0
End1.7